Alarm Holdings Stock Analysis

ALRM Stock  USD 48.22  1.79  3.86%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Alarm Holdings extending back to June 26, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Alarm Holdings stands at 48.22, as last reported on the 7th of February, with the highest price reaching 48.60 and the lowest price hitting 46.86 during the day.
IPO Date
26th of June 2015
200 Day MA
53.7445
50 Day MA
51.0836
Beta
0.798
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Alarm Holdings holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.921. At this time, Alarm Holdings' Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 7th of February 2026, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.49, while Net Debt To EBITDA is likely to drop (0.79). Alarm Holdings' financial risk is the risk to Alarm Holdings stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Alarm Holdings' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Alarm Holdings' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Alarm Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Alarm Holdings' stakeholders.
For many companies, including Alarm Holdings, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Alarm Holdings, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Alarm Holdings' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
2.8009
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.3569
Price Sales
2.3363
Shares Float
47.4 M
Wall Street Target Price
66.3333
At this time, Alarm Holdings' Total Stockholder Equity is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 7th of February 2026, Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to grow to about 2.5 B, while Other Stockholder Equity is likely to drop about 316.6 M. . At this time, Alarm Holdings' Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 7th of February 2026, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 7.79, while Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 15.97.
Alarm Holdings is undervalued with Real Value of 57.56 and Target Price of 66.33. The main objective of Alarm Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alarm Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alarm Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Alarm Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Alarm Holdings is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Alarm Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alarm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.

Alarm Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alarm Holdings was presently reported as 16.62. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.54. Alarm Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions for smart residential and commercial properties in the United States and internationally. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Tysons, Virginia. Alarm operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1606 people. For more info on Alarm Holdings please contact Stephen Trundle at 877 389 4033 or go to https://www.alarm.com.

Alarm Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

256.4 Million

Alarm Holdings Investment Alerts

Alarm Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Alarm.com Shares Gap Down Heres Why

Alarm Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alarm Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2015-08-06
2015-06-300.040.050.0125 
2019-11-05
2019-09-300.330.370.0412 
2016-08-15
2016-06-300.110.150.0436 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alarm Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Alarm Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Alarm Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Alarm Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Alarm Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Alarm Holdings Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Alarm Holdings stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Alternative Energy Idea
Alternative Energy
Companies, funds and ETFs that are involved in development and popularizing of alternative energy
Tech Growth Idea
Tech Growth
Large and mid-sized technology companies, funds, and technology-based ETFs that are considered growing
Aggressive Defence Idea
Aggressive Defence
Small capitalization, high growth potential companies

Alarm Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
740.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
688.2 K
Fmr Inc2025-06-30
618.2 K
Norges Bank2025-06-30
591.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
549.4 K
New York State Common Retirement Fund2025-06-30
526.2 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2025-06-30
503.3 K
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2025-06-30
467.6 K
Qube Research & Technologies2025-06-30
449.3 K
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
9.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
6.3 M
Note, although Alarm Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alarm Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.32 B.

Alarm Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.13 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.16 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.16.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.10 

Management Efficiency

Alarm Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0405 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0405 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1576 %, meaning that it created $0.1576 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Alarm Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alarm Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Alarm Holdings' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 7th of February 2026, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.10, while Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.1. At this time, Alarm Holdings' Net Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 7th of February 2026, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.10, while Intangible Assets are likely to drop about 61.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 13.98  14.68 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 10.04  10.54 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 16.72  15.89 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.78  7.79 
Enterprise Value Multiple 16.72  15.89 
Price Fair Value 4.78  7.79 
Enterprise Value2.6 B1.6 B
The strategic initiatives led by Alarm Holdings' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
0.157
Profit Margin
0.1292
Beta
0.798
Return On Assets
0.0405
Return On Equity
0.1576

Technical Drivers

As of the 7th of February, Alarm Holdings shows the mean deviation of 1.2, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0015. Alarm Holdings technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Alarm Holdings risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and potential upside to decide if Alarm Holdings is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 48.22 per share. Given that Alarm Holdings has information ratio of (0.05), we suggest you to validate Alarm Holdings's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Alarm Holdings Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two.

Alarm Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alarm Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alarm Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alarm Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Kevin Bradley over a month ago
Acquisition by Kevin Bradley of 25000 shares of Alarm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Bedell over a month ago
Disposition of 22727 shares by Jeffrey Bedell of Alarm Holdings at 51.82 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Evans Stephen C. over a month ago
Disposition of 1154 shares by Evans Stephen C. of Alarm Holdings at 52.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Ramos over two months ago
Acquisition by Daniel Ramos of 1667 shares of Alarm Holdings at 37.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stephen Trundle over two months ago
Acquisition by Stephen Trundle of 9900 shares of Alarm Holdings at 48.06 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stephen Trundle over two months ago
Acquisition by Stephen Trundle of 3531 shares of Alarm Holdings at 48.57 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Kerzner over two months ago
Disposition of 20004 shares by Daniel Kerzner of Alarm Holdings at 50.29 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kevin Bradley over six months ago
Disposition of 754 shares by Kevin Bradley of Alarm Holdings at 56.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Clarke Donald E over six months ago
Acquisition by Clarke Donald E of 2304 shares of Alarm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Harper Cecile Burleigh over six months ago
Acquisition by Harper Cecile Burleigh of 2510 shares of Alarm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Ramos over six months ago
Disposition of 7000 shares by Daniel Ramos of Alarm Holdings at 57.68 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stephen Trundle over six months ago
Acquisition by Stephen Trundle of 40000 shares of Alarm Holdings at 56.94 subject to Rule 16b-3

Alarm Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Alarm Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alarm Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alarm bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alarm Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Alarm Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Alarm Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alarm Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alarm Holdings Corporate Filings

F4
18th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
16th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
28th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
20th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2025
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
6th of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
14th of August 2025
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
7th of August 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Alarm Holdings Forecast Models

Alarm Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Alarm Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alarm Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Alarm Holdings Bond Ratings

Alarm Holdings financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Alarm Holdings have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Alarm Holdings' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
6
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.68)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Alarm Holdings Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Alarm Holdings, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Alarm Holdings currently holds 1.06 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.92, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Alarm Holdings has a current ratio of 6.14, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Alarm Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Alarm Holdings Common Stock Shares Outstanding Over Time

Alarm Holdings Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Alarm Holdings uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Alarm Holdings Debt Ratio

    
  49.0   
It appears that about 51% of Alarm Holdings' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Alarm Holdings' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Alarm Holdings, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Alarm Holdings Corporate Bonds Issued

Alarm Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

1.28 Billion

At this time, Alarm Holdings' Short and Long Term Debt Total is very stable compared to the past year.

About Alarm Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alarm Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alarm shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alarm Holdings. By using and applying Alarm Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alarm entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.17  0.12 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.12  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.59  0.49 

Current Alarm Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alarm analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alarm analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
66.33Buy9Odds
Alarm Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alarm analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alarm stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alarm Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alarm conference calls.
Alarm Analyst Advice Details

Alarm Stock Analysis Indicators

Alarm Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alarm Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alarm Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alarm Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Alarm Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow701.1 M
Long Term Debt983.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58 M
Total Stockholder Equity726.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-24.7 M
Tax Provision19.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.019
Property Plant And Equipment Net116.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B
Cash1.2 B
Accounts Payable65.6 M
Net Debt-164 M
50 Day M A51.0836
Total Current Liabilities188.8 M
Other Operating Expenses831.3 M
Non Current Assets Total556.6 M
Forward Price Earnings26.2467
Non Currrent Assets Other41.3 M
Stock Based Compensation41.2 M
When determining whether Alarm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alarm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alarm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alarm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alarm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Alarm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarm Holdings. If investors know Alarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Alarm Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Earnings Share
2.36
Revenue Per Share
19.949
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.066
Return On Assets
0.0405
Understanding Alarm Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Alarm's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Alarm Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Alarm Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Alarm Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alarm Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Alarm Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.